Bangladesh continues with steady sovereign rating with stable outlook
Standard & Poor’s credit rating for Bangladesh stands at BB- with stable outlook. Moody’s credit rating for Bangladesh was the last set at Ba3 with stable outlook. Fitch’s credit rating for Bangladesh was last reported at BB- with stable outlook.
Bangladesh Ba3 rating reflects the country’s stable and healthy growth path and limited vulnerability to fiscal & external funding stresses. Under an Extended Credit Facility (ECF) program with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) that began in 2012, the government has progressed considerably in the implementation of structural reforms.
The stable outlook reflects our expectation that Bangladesh’s moderately strong growth & donor support will endure, rising, per capita wealth & aiding the gradual strengthening of the country’s external profile. These factors are balanced against lingering fiscal weaknesses, infrastructure deficiencies & inflation risk.
Bangladesh’s new rating reflects a balance between high, stable real GDP growth and strong external balances, and weak structural features indicating significant political & banking sector risk.
Growth performance in Bangladesh has been strong the past few years, bolstered by efforts to reduce long standing infrastructure bottlenecks, particularly power generation, and aided by accommodative policies. Despite global uncertainties, near-term prospects remain favorable, supported by resilient garments exports, a more reliable electricity supply & consumption-boosting remittance inflow.
Bangladesh has a strategically important location, with easy excess to India & China. With low cost, young workforce, investment in export processing zones and strong local market, the outlook for the country looks promising.
Based on promising growth performance & future potential, Bangladesh is among seven “hottest” emerging markets. Economic growth at around 7% in real terms seems maintainable.
Bangladesh is named as one of the “Frontier Five” countries alongside Kazakhstan, Kenya, Nigeria & Vietnam.
The next 11 countries generally have the capacity to deliver sustained growth. The scale and potential for Bangladesh is obvious. A population of 150 million, strong demographics, hard-working people and the early signs of emerging middle class. Bangladesh is included in the “Next 11 countries to watch”. Bangladesh is included in the “Next 11 countries to watch”.